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Official Reports Confirm Economy Worse Than in 2000

Franklin @ October 11, 2007 # One Comment

The Dow Jones’ new high is a numeric illusion The Personal Savings Rate is at the same level it was during the last recession Economic growth (GDP) is lower than inflation growth (i.e., the economy is not growing) Even after adjusting for inflation, cost of living is 17% higher than it was in 2000 The […]

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Banks Drive to Grab Land

Franklin @ October 8, 2007 # 2 Comments

When writing articles about foreclosure, the mantra seems to be “the banks want your money“, they are willing to negotiate and help you keep your home. The pesky reality, however, is pointing in another direction. According to a recent AP article, US July Foreclosures Rates were Up 93% from a year ago. So, if the […]

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The real economy

Franklin @ October 8, 2007 # 31 Comments

I wrote previously that, in constant dollars, the Dow Jones is far from a new high (actually, some 8% away). Those constant dollars, however, were based only on inflation data, which is statistical data and not actual market data. The following table shows the 2000 and 2007 prices in terms of different commodities. The calculation […]

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Is the Dow Jones at a new high?

Franklin @ October 8, 2007 # 13 Comments

Two weeks ago I mentioned that current currencies have no inherent value, and I gave the dramatic example of the Argentine currency from the 70s to date. Today, I will comment on the myth of the new high for the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which is portrayed as an example of the economic health of […]

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And we got increased volatility

Franklin @ October 3, 2007 # No Comment Yet

When I published on Monday, expect increased volatility the Dow run some 200 points much of which it lost most during the past 2 days. During the next 2 to 3 days, we should see a tug of war between bulls and bears. News will fly, both bad and great, talking heads will talk about […]

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Expect increased volatility

Franklin @ October 1, 2007 # 7 Comments

On August 20th, when the concern on the media was the liquidity crisis and the falling market I wrote to a good friend of mine “The move on the DIA since the bottom of 2002 looks parabolic. If we break the previous high we will be “on the other side of the curve” when things […]

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The US should leave Iraq and call in UN peacekeeping operations

Franklin @ September 28, 2007 # 2 Comments

When I wrote a few minutes ago about the conditions for runaway inflation being created by the current administration, I must admit, it was with some fatalistic perspective (hence the medieval sounding title of the article). I assumed the war in Iraq will keep going, and that the next administration will not be able to […]

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Let the party begin. We will be dead tomorrow

Franklin @ September 28, 2007 # 3 Comments

The current administration is creating the conditions for runaway inflation in the near future in order to support the war efforts

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How to survive hyperinflation

Franklin @ September 21, 2007 # 8 Comments

Avoid, to the extent it is possible, selling goods at a fixed price to be paid in the future Remember that if you work for somebody you are selling your work at a price set in the past and you will be paid in the future, so, during hyperinflation, you will be robbed daily Do […]

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At a financial crossroads

Franklin @ September 19, 2007 # 6 Comments

With gold about to retest the previous high and the Dow Jones average at less than 200 points from the previous high, I will look at two different scenarios and their possible implications for the consumer market. As I pointed out before, Bernanke’s solution to the “liquidity crisis” is utterly destructive because it implies more […]

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