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Why Current Inflation Hurts So Much?

Franklin @ February 14, 2008 # 7 Comments

The other day I wrote at www.tradingurus.com that the current inflation rate is historically low. That article was geared towards investors, and pointed out that the current administration has a lot more room to give money away to avert the current financial crisis. By the way, the idea behind www.tradingurus.com is that since American workers […]

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The Case for Gold as the Next Bubble Instrument (and How to Play it Safe)

Franklin @ January 11, 2008 # 10 Comments

I wrote before that gold is a a poor inflation hedge. The myth has its origins in a big run up in the 80s that had as much to do with wild speculators cornering the precious metals markets as with a knee-jerk reaction to two continuous years of double digit inflation rates. With gold hitting […]

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Housing Market Bottom?

Franklin @ December 28, 2007 # 2 Comments

The amount of negative publicity If you are a buyer and you have access to feed news to the media, you want them to picture a bleaker picture than it is. From this point of view alone, this looks a lot like stock market bottoms, when you ONLY read negative information. Although the market is […]

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Black Swans, Bell Curves and Stagflation

Franklin @ December 19, 2007 # 2 Comments

This is not the promised article about the stupidity of black swans. This is an article about how we tend to focus our attention on the odd, rather than the mundane. I guess some talking head mentioned stagflation, because the previous article on the subject received unusual attention. People are hitting the site searching for […]

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Things That Go Bump in the Night

Franklin @ December 15, 2007 # 2 Comments

Today I am republishing John Mauldin’s Weekly Newsletter. If you find it interesting you will find subscription information at the bottom of the post. John Mauldin, who for years has been involved in private money management and alternative investments, is a much sought after financial strategist and consultant. He’s the author of Bull’s Eye Investing: Targeting Real Returns in a Smoke and Mirrors Market, Just One Thing: Twelve of the World’s Best Investors Reveal the One Strategy You Can’t Overlook, and The Millennium Wave: Prosper (& Profit!) in a Future of Accelerating Change (which I haven’t read yet).

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Disposable Personal Income Shows Disturbing Historical Trend

Franklin @ December 13, 2007 # 7 Comments

An observation of a disturbing trend on disposable personal income. Some possible causes and more questions.

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The Myth Of Gold as Inflation Hedge

Franklin @ December 2, 2007 # 23 Comments

Gold sellers like to write long articles and develop interesting theories to provide rational justification for their business.

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US Businesses in Recession-Like Mode

Franklin @ December 2, 2007 # 4 Comments

This chart shows

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The Myth of Republican Fiscal Conservatism

Franklin @ November 30, 2007 # 13 Comments

Seeing Rudy Giuliani and Mitt Romney fight over who is more of a fiscal conservative made me think that they are actually barking up the wrong tree. You see, although the Republican Party claims to be the party of “small government”, and many fiscal conservatives vote Republican for that reason, the record shows that the […]

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Dow Jones Ready for Next Leg Down

Franklin @ November 23, 2007 # 3 Comments

Two weeks ago, when the Dow had fallen about 1000 points, I said that the Dow Jones at 13,099 should see a rest. I expected at least two flat weeks and we had them within less than 1%. As I write this the Dow is at 12,930.24 (0.98% lower than the 13,099 I detected as […]

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