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Increase in productivity (we are all Haitian)

Franklin @ February 23, 2010 # 6 Comments

Image via Wikipedia I haven’t written in the longest time. My last post, I see, was back in November. What could, you would ask, force an able-body-human-being-who-enjoys-sharing-his-unwanted-opinions-with-strangers (that’s my real name) to stay away from writing and almost forget the password of the blogsite? The answer my friends, is blowing in the increase in productivity […]

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Why fundamental analysis of commodities is wrong, and irrational

Franklin @ July 30, 2008 # 3 Comments

I have discussed in several articles my position that gold is just another commodity subject to the ebb and flow of speculative money. Today I will talk a little bit about oil and why I think all the fundamental analysis are fundamentally wrong. If I write that we are experiencing peak oil price rather than […]

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The Gold Scam

Franklin @ April 20, 2008 # 18 Comments

Every time there is an article about gold warning about a possible bubble, a cohort of gold worshipers (an activity which, by the way, is frowned upon by the Old Testament God) answer that gold has maintained its value for 3,000 years, or 5,000 years, and so on. They will give you impressive and unsubstantiated […]

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Timing The October High And November Bottom Of Dow Jones

Franklin @ December 9, 2007 # 2 Comments

Over the past two months (actually beginning October 1st) I conducted a documented experiment on this site. Although Reuters and other media republished some of the articles, my impression is that this exercise in market timing went completely unnoticed.

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Retailers post disappointing November sales – MarketWatch

Franklin @ December 6, 2007 # No Comment Yet

On November 15 I wrote regarding the November retail numbers: If the news is bad, the Fed will feel justified in declaring that the risk of a recession is higher than the risk of inflation, and lower the rates a little bit more. Either way, at this , the end will be the same. There […]

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Is Gold a Hedge Against Excess Liquidity?

Franklin @ December 5, 2007 # 2 Comments

Dispelling myths about the golden metal

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Dow Jones 13,252. Not All Clear Yet

Franklin @ November 28, 2007 # 2 Comments

Last Friday I wrote that the Dow Jones was Ready for Next Leg Down. I said that “barring a surprise move from the Federal Reserve next week, the next meaningful movement for the Dow should be below 12,5000“. Today we had the surprise move and the Dow rallied almost 300 points. I will add here […]

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Dow Jones Finds A Convoluted Way to Do Nothing

Franklin @ November 15, 2007 # One Comment

Last Friday I wrote that the Dow Jones at 13,099 should see a rest. I pointed out that some statistical barriers had been broken, and that the fall should stop around there. I was wrong by 0.6%, but not much more. And then, on Tuesday, we had this huge run rally of some 300 points. […]

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Dow Jones at 13,099 should see a rest

Franklin @ November 9, 2007 # 2 Comments

Yesterday’s fall broke statistical boundaries and the DJ rallied. Today’s fall created a new statistical boundary and broke it. Next week we should see a week of basically flat movement. The next down move should be to around 12.500. I still think this is a short term move, and that the Fed will inject more […]

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Dow Jones 400 to 600 more points of pain

Franklin @ October 22, 2007 # 3 Comments

You read here on October 12 that the Dow Jones was in for some pain (http://services.thebankruptcynews.com/blog/?p=70). We said that “The Wall Street sponsored media should start next week pandering bad news and creating a climate of fear using the available examples of very bad October markets. Expect myriads of articles about 1929 and 1987.” The […]

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