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Black Swans, Bell Curves and Stagflation

Franklin @ December 19, 2007 # 2 Comments

This is not the promised article about the stupidity of black swans. This is an article about how we tend to focus our attention on the odd, rather than the mundane. I guess some talking head mentioned stagflation, because the previous article on the subject received unusual attention. People are hitting the site searching for […]

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Things That Go Bump in the Night

Franklin @ December 15, 2007 # 2 Comments

Today I am republishing John Mauldin’s Weekly Newsletter. If you find it interesting you will find subscription information at the bottom of the post. John Mauldin, who for years has been involved in private money management and alternative investments, is a much sought after financial strategist and consultant. He’s the author of Bull’s Eye Investing: Targeting Real Returns in a Smoke and Mirrors Market, Just One Thing: Twelve of the World’s Best Investors Reveal the One Strategy You Can’t Overlook, and The Millennium Wave: Prosper (& Profit!) in a Future of Accelerating Change (which I haven’t read yet).

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Stagflation: This Time It Is Different

Franklin @ November 18, 2007 # 4 Comments

I just uttered two of the worst things any economist would ever want to see. And they are together, for good measure.

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And we got increased volatility

Franklin @ October 3, 2007 # No Comment Yet

When I published on Monday, expect increased volatility the Dow run some 200 points much of which it lost most during the past 2 days. During the next 2 to 3 days, we should see a tug of war between bulls and bears. News will fly, both bad and great, talking heads will talk about […]

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